There was a recent article called “Why 3D Printing Will Go the Way of Virtual Reality” which has caused quite a stir.
The author lists several reasons why 3D Printing will always remain a fringe technology that is more suitable for science fiction than real world applications.
First of all the author assumes that 3D Printers can only manufacture in plastic.
Let’s start with the mechanism. Most 3-D printers lay down thin layers of extruded plastic. That’s great for creating cheap plastic toys with a limited spatial resolution. But printing your Mii or customizing an iPhone case isn’t the same thing as firing ceramics in a kiln or smelting metal or mixing lime with sand at high temperatures to produce glass—unless you’d like everything that’s currently made from those substances to be replaced with plastic, and there are countless environmental, health, and durability reasons you don’t.
Currently, 3D printers can also print using titanium powders. Metal objects are currently being 3D printed and there are various alloys including a biocompatible cobalt-chrome alloy.
The author thinks that 3D Printing will never change the face of consumerism. He believes that 3D Printing will be relegated to a tool used in traditional manufacturing.
Hype is inevitably followed by some level of backlash, or at least disinterest, and it would be a shame for 3-D printing to head into a too-deep trough of the Gartner hype cycle. There will be plenty of interesting applications for 3-D printing, but I’ll bet the ones that will have the biggest impact will be within traditional factories, where rapid prototyping is already having a huge impact.
There are already several desk top versions of 3D printers that are available for about $1200. Recently 3D Systems introduced its $1,299 Cube 3D printer at the Consumer Electronics Show. Virtual reality never made it into anyone’s home. 3D printers on the other hand are already being sold as consumer devices. The 3D Printing industry has come further along than the VR industry ever did.
It is impossible to say whether 3D Printing will follow in the footsteps of the PC or virtual reality. The most likely answer is somewhere in between.
{ 0 comments }
